Thursday, 15 June 2017

The Mighty Has Fallen. Death Of The Daily Observer

Arthur Vanderbilt once said that "taxes are the lifeblood of government and no taxpayer should be permitted to escape the payment of his just share of the burden of contributing thereto." A lot of people are weighing in the closure of #DailyObserver. This newspaper has been in existence for over 20 yrs. I understand press freedom and the protection of dissenting views and voices. However, the closure of the paper was neither political nor journalistic. Gambia is a country of laws and the responsibility and onus of paying taxes lies with the tax payer not the enforcer. Observer operated outside the confines of the law by disregarding  a statutory obligation of paying taxes. The arrogance and bravado of this paper stopped them from negotiating a payment plan to offset their staggering liability. Therefore the closure is not only justified but legally prescribed by law. For the infomation of our readership, the GRA will not abruptly halt the operations of the newspaper without due notice. Secondly, the paper is not by no means in a position to offset its tax liabilities in the medium term considering the fact that their future revenue streams can't sustain the paying out their outstanding liabilities. A business has a right to live and a right to die and unfortunately, the Daily Observer chose death. May theybrest in peace. Legal compliance supersedes the press freedom rights of the observer or any other company. Ignorance has never been an excuse of breaking the law.

Ignorance of the law is not an excuse. It is folly for the Managing Director of the Defunct Daily Observer to blame the enforcer (GRA) for non payment of taxes by a corporate body (Daily Observer). Such a statement borders between corporate irresponsibility and wilful deceit. The only thing that's constant are death and taxes. OBSERVER chose not to pay their taxes and now they are dead. #RIP defunct newspaper once called Daily Observer. Oh by the way, DR Owl said that 100 days for the thief, 1 day for the Master yard.

Tuesday, 13 June 2017

GAMBIA' S INTERNATIONAL GATEWAY HURDLE

The word MGI in the Gambia is synonymous to broad day robbery and mystery.  This company's  existence was somehow virtual and indifferent to the Gambian way of life during Jammeh's regime.  A company that has been parasitic in terms of looting the public coffers and short changing Gambians in terms of pricing Gambia out of range as it relates to call termination rates inbound to destination #GM220. Driving past the bustling roundabout of Brusubi on my way home and coming across a tent with MGI Paraphernalia displaying their benevolence to poor Gambians during the holy month of Ramadan makes me feel irate for it reminds me of the sucker Gambia has chose to be in front of a despicable parasite who cares less about our wellbeing or prosperity. Am sure by now, my readership are curious as per who MGI are. Well MGI is a TELECOMMUNICATION voice gateway provider who terminates inbound international traffic on behalf of the Gambia. This company's existence has for long been shrouded in mystery as the stakeholders in the market ( Qcell, Africell, Comium and the general public) were not privy with the terms and conditions of their contractual obligations with the contracting party (Gamtel). After the fall of Jammeh, the cat has been let off the bag and the general public and telecom operators were made abreast of the plunderous arrangement entered by the state with MGI. 

We have all been patient hoping that the government will draw down the curtains on this exploitative relationship with MGI. This arrange has placed the operators, government of the Gambia and the general public in a disadvantaged position that called for immediate remedial action for the following reasons;
1. The government of the Gambia has a fiduciary responsibility to assure that revenue accrued to government ends in government coffers inorder to finance government fiscal operations.
2. The operators invested heavily in the telecommunication sector with explicit guarantees from government to operate in the country unfettered. Well this promissory accord by government have been violated thereby causing financial harm to operators and to a point it affects capital reinvestment in the sector by operators.
3. The Gambians telecommunication service users have been taken to the cleaners by MGI for charging a prohibitive termination rate that puts the subscribers at a disadvantaged economically and in terms of quality of service delivered. Callers into destination Gambia were either blocked from accessing Gambia due to high termination rates or their calls were high jacked by illegal terminators who saw a lucrative opportunity to steal inbound calls to the Gambia.
Based on the above, the stakeholders of the telecommunication sector wanted government to sever commercial ties with MGI for the interest of the greater good. The general public patiently waited for 6 months for a definitive resolution of this broad day robbery by MGI. To date, the government of the day is either pussy footing or dragging the termination of the MGI contract for reasons best known to them. We the general public are hereby reminding government of their responsibility to protect the public's interest by terminating this atrocious arrangement with MGI. Failure to do so within a reason time frame will lead to dire  consequences that may pitch government against the very people they vowed to serve. I am of the view that the operators are now at liberty to arrange for their own termination links in order to deliver an efficient service to their esteem subscribers. They unlike government are duty bound to serve their subscribers effectively and the laws governing our telecommunication sector permit them to operate gateways in furtherance of their business operations. This arrangement is guaranteed by the MOU signed by the ACE Consortium and the government. Something has to give in and it should be the riddance of MGI in our telecommunication sector. The million dollar question that begs for an answer is whose interest is this government serving by prolonging the robbery orchestrated by a vile and heartless company like MGI? You be the judge but #DeesTake on the issue is simple and resolute. We must have #ZeroTolerance for economic exploiters. We welcome bona fide investors in Gambia not parasitic corporates who prey on our vulnerabilities to milk us dry.

Sunday, 11 June 2017

DATA WAR IN GAMBIAN TELECOMMUNICATION- WHO IS THE KING OF DATA?

The old adage cash is king is getting very synonymous with the prevailing trend in the Gambian telecommunication sphere. Data is now poised to be the next thing in telecommunications and Gambia is not left out in the fray. Subscribers of telecommunications services are constantly  increasing their demand for data services for their pressing wants and needs of accessing 0TC applications such as IMO, WhatsApp, Viber and other Social media applications. Consequently the network operators are positioning themselves to cater for the growing demands of the sector. The data business is currently shared by Africell, Qcell and Gamcel. There is quite a lot of noise as per who the data market leader is. Well the jury is out and statistics can’t be massaged nor twisted to tell a story that is otherwise not the case. The Public Regulator, PURA has published a Report for Q1 2017 KPI’s that can ascertain trends in terms of service delivery, technical roll out and updated network topology on both the 2G and 3G networks. This report is independent as it automatically collect data from live transactions executed on the various networks. For all intent and purpose, my emphasis will be on the 3G networks as all data transmission is channelled through that medium. The map below clearly depicts the current status of the 3G national topology as at end April 2017.



3G networks are prevalent all over the country but based on the PURA report of April 2017, Africel by far have more cells deployed than any other operator. This move by Africel is a deliberate tactical decision towards consolidation of its market dominant position. Africel has 736 cells, Qcell has 592 cells and Gamcel has 152 cells. The data war is for real. Pricing and marketing gimmicks alone will not ensure dominant position in the market. The relevant Capital expenditure is whats going to bankroll the data supremacy of the competition and Africel has over the past 12 months put in considerable capital expenditure to boost both transmission and data capacity of their network. Based on the foregoing, the jury is out and the data provided by PURA indicates that the data war for the time being belongs to Africel albeit that they are yet to launch a 4G neteork unlike Qcell. Based on the data provided by PURA, the Qcell LTE network is yet to make a dent on Africel’s data pie This can be explained by a possible lag effect on the introduction of a new technology by Qcell which is yet to filter down to its subscribers or the current rollout of LTE sites are so insignificant to the overall size of their network. For example if the current LTE coverage is less than 6% of their overall network the benefits of the new technology will not be felt. For the period under review, Qcell registered a negative growth -.72% in its data business whilst both Gamcel and Africel registered positive growth of 19.81% and 22.35% respectively.



As an analyst of the sector, I am baffled by the data returns from PURA as I was of the view that Qcell enjoyed a comfortable data lead in the market considering their marketing efforts. I can safely say that the jury is out unless this growth trend is tamed. Africel is undoubtedly the king of data in this war of megabytes and data bundles. Curiousity begs to inquire why is Africel a market leader? This will be addressed in subsequent posts after satisfying myself with more industry data but I can safely say that the reason for Africel having a dominant market position has more to do with its commercial strategy than its technological position. Data bundling and packaging reasonable voice tariffs sets the competition apart. Data is forming a significant portion of the subscriber's ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) and it will soon constitute 60% of overall revenue. In conclusion, our perception can often distort the reality on the ground

Thursday, 8 June 2017

Reality Slowly Setting In As Cooler Heads Prevailed

Hindsight and after thought are always 20/20. The aftermath of the Kanilai protest cum riots has taught the nation an expensive lesson of national security and cohesiveness. The Gambia though diverse enjoy a social fabric woven with an intricate yarn. Tribalism, religious intolerance have never been a Gambian problem. These ills have been amplified over the past two decades by an ill intentioned social despot whose personal interest of political survival collided with our interest of national unity. Jammeh is a product of a tolerant Gambia who helped raised a child from the fringes of our social mix to the most powerful person in this country. His ungratefulness polarised the views of some amongs his midst to alienate themselves from mainstream Gambia. The problem of Kanila is neither a Jola problem nor a Foni problem. It was an incident fanned and flame by the Butcher of Kanilai to destabilise the country. Therfore the people who subscribed to his philosophy are either reactionaries indoctrinated by Jammeh or short sighted Gambians who do not subscribe to our national ideals. I want to see the perpetrators of the Kanilai riots be brought before a court to face the consequences of their actions. No other group of Gambians understand first hand the ill effects of insurgency  and belligerent acts as the people of Foni for they reside under the nose of the MFDC. Therefore, I expect them to be the first to denounce such attrocities.

The role of government is to effectively communicate with its citizens and manage their expectations. Listening to  the video tapes coming out of Kanilai, I noticed a glaring disconnect between some elements in Foni and the Gambian reality. The  only way to bridge this divide is to effectively communicate with the people of Foni and it starts with a presidential visit and dialogue. All citizens of our beautiful nation are equally important and relevant in our developmental aspirations. Therefore no Jola is insignificant nor trivial in our national life. Our common enemy is their disgraced kleptocratic son Yahya Jammeh. Jammeh has brought disrepute to a noble group of people. We should remind those elements fermenting discord that their loyalty lies to country not individuals. The ECOMIG CONTINGENT  is here to stay and we all need to find a mutually beneficial arrangement to coexist with them. Jammeh's wish of exposing the security vulnerability of this country to his scornful wishes will never be realised. The time has come for all Gambians to march to the promise land of prosperity ensemble. No one will be left behind. I am that Jola lady as my sisters name sake was Fatou Woula Badjie, I am that Mandinka as my cousin Numu Darboe hails from Niani. I am that Manjago as my aunt Jainaba Fourmose Gomez was one. I am that Fula as my grandmother Fatou Bah was one. I am Gambia because my diversity is my strenght. My interest is to usher a new dawn. A dawn premised on social equity, justice and  opportunity for all. God bless the land of Maba Jahou and  Kunta Kinteh. We can thrive if we see ourselves as Gambians. The wollofs of old would have said   " Ganaaw aiyee di jamaa". My condolences to the family of #HarunaJatta and his death deserves an inquest because all lives matter. For the Gambia I remain ever true

Saturday, 27 May 2017

NOTICE TO VACATE THE POST OF MAYOR OF BANJUL



This post is specifically and intentionally targetted to the current Mayor of Banjul Mr. Abdoulie Bah. I personally do not harbour grudges or ill will against you but you have surely outlived your usefulness if there was any for the people of Banjul. 

Your election and subsequent elevation to the position of the post of Mayor of Banjul was very deliberate and personal to the people of Banjul. We rebelled against the dreadful and terrible Butcher of Kanilai for the treatment meted out against the inhabitants of the capital and their noble son #Pa_Sallah_Jeng. You ran on an independent ticket and we gladly voted for you without hesitation. To whom much is given, much is expected. We expected a lot from you and prominent amongst those expectations were sincerity and good faith. Your decision to jump ship and join the Jammeh band wagon was not only disheartening but an utter disregard to the very people who installed you. The time has come for us the bonafide citizens of Banjul to render our verdict on your performance and integrity. Well for your infomation, the verdict is out and we will vigourously render your future candidacy futile and redundant just like you treated the dignifief people of the city that the Butcher marginalised thanks to your help and many like your ilk. I will leave you to patiently peruse through the picture attached herein and ask yourself if you deserve our vote or confidence going forward? 

Your decision to jump ship from the APRC speaks volume about your interest to preserve and nurture your personal interest over the greater good. I will wage a war against your candidacy in the upcoming mayoral elections and I will definitely put my money where my mouth is. Bottom line, I will write your political obituary and the epitaph will read. Here lies a man that was given all by a victimised populace who had hope and confidence in him for their salvation from a brutal tyrant but he chose to entrench the very butcher that tormented the people of Banjul. Adieu mayor and do enjoy what is left of your term as the struggle is for real and rest be assured the days of political opportunism are over in the island city from whence I came. You Mr man can't solve our problems as you lack the nowithall to usher prosperity and transformation in Banjul. Hope to see you in the political turf I affectionately called my home. Banjul dekki nyetti marché yi.

Monday, 15 May 2017

Economic Nationalism A Sine Qua Non For A Prosperous Gambia

My Gambia, my way! This has been my motto and credo since I touched down in the Gambia some 16 odd years ago. Sadly, my way only existed in my worldview and how I choose to live, express my views and construct my reality. My reality is not far fetched, nor is it utopian just that my reality is not mainstream. I am an unapologetic thoroughbred capitalist who believes in excellence, merit and market driven processes. However, if we Gambians want to have Giants of Industries, we must first nurture captains of Industry. The Gambian entrepreneurial class MUST be propped up so that wealth creation and generation will be a precursor to our dream of a developed Gambia.

This brings me to my contentious yet noble idea about Economic Nationalism. This ideology promotes and foster local participation in all spheres of our economy so long as it doesn’t impede on the quality of service being delivered. Economic Nationalism is practiced in most economies but in a very subtle way. Recently, the United States Government in a show of support for American Telecommunications Equipment manufacturers, frustrated the entry of Huaweii Technologies in the US market citing suspicion as a pretext for their actions. http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-20141207-column.html This move by the USA is a clear sign of Economic Nationalism by putting US commercial interest first. I am cognizant of the fact that Gambia is an open economy that should promote foreign direct invest to spur the much needed impetus for economic growth but however, this endeavor must be cautiously approached to implement a balance that will serve two interests simultaneously (the strengthening of our entrepreneurial class and opening up to FDI). The two are not mutually exclusive and with the right policy mix the two objectives can be achieved harmoniously. This administration as a matter of urgent public policy pronouncement MUST initiate immediate local content rules in the awarding of international contracts to foreign companies. Local content rules implore on foreign contractors to engage local suppliers and entrepreneurs in sourcing the inputs for their deliverables. This will enhance the entrepreneurial base and also foster the idea of skills and technological transfer that is needed to move our economy.

I will also take this opportunity to register my concerns and reservations about the purported negotiations with a Belgian outfit called SEMLEX as it relates to issuance of National documents Passport etc). I am of the view that this is not a precision or rocket science that needs ultra-sophisticated competence to produce. Therefore, our government must consider local outfits with the requisite competence to deliver such services and in the absence of such within the local business community, the government can encourage local outfits to partner with international firms to deliver such services. This accords the local outfits the opportunity to boost their skill levels and competence after a while. That is what I consider economic empowerment. New Gambia MUST promote such ideals as it helps in building a strong entrepreneurial class. Economic Nationalism must not be equated to #PROTECTIONISM as it is more of a preferred provider of services rather than the only providers. If this country must develop, the government must nurture the emergence of an entrepreneurial class. A lesson not learned in the past will always be repeated and that’s why we had many false starts with the Likes of Alice Carr, Daddy Jack, Cham & Secka, Musu Kebba Drammeh. This is a shameful past that can be addressed if we put Gambia and Gambians first. The text book definition of an open economy is ideal as it is devoid of the very human trait of self-interest. Therefore, my philosophy of My Gambia, My Way MUST be made a reality by promoting Gambian ideals and interest at all times. If we don’t promote our interest who will promote our interest for us? This blog post is by no means a support for any interest but a mere observation of an anomaly deficient in the Gambian psyche especially our public officials. I remain a humble servant of the land I grew loving and I will promote the espoused ideals that will usher in prosperity to our dearly beloved Gambia

#Gambia
#EconomicNationalism
#PublicPolicy

#GambiaFirst

Thursday, 4 May 2017

The Chicken and Egg! Growth or Economic Stability

The chicken and the egg scenario has always intriqued man in his quest for rational thinking. Equally, the economist has for centuries toyed with the idea of the "other hand" yet proudly create a static environment "ceteris peribus" where all things are equal. In real life no two things are equal. #NewGAMBIA is at a demarche heading to a confluence that will put her on a collusion course with growth or doom. The path taken by Gambia at this confluence depends on the economic/development tool kit employed. A fiscal conservative economist would prescribe stability over growth and a neo liberal fiscalist would advocate growth over stability with the view that the calm has to come after the storm.

Either way, New Gambia wants prosperity propelled by economic growth and sustainable macro policies. If wishes were horses all beggars be riding to town. Our generation owe it to subsequent generations of Gambians to tidy up the fiscal mess we created through excessive public borrowing and decadent national lifestyle choices (public celebrations) that left us in the brink. This government must take a critical look at our situation and understand that our domestic debt is an existential threat to the long term macro stability of the state. The way out of our festering debt ailment is for Gambians to collective take responsibility of our predicament and it starts by buying into the sacrifice of bringing the debt down as Gambians. If we all pledge a token sum per person it will give us a stake in the process. Then the monetary authorities in consultation with the fiscal authorities develop  medium term debt instruments to help restructure our debt profile. Then and only then our economic growth will make sense to me. Let us not just think about our generation. It is our responsibility to pass on a Gambia with a clean bill of health to subsequent generations. A sovereign wealth management fund can address such issues. Hello Gambia, lets develop our nation with a medium to long-term strategic vision. For the Gambia I remain ever